The NHS Is Broken. The Evidence Arrives Every Time Doctors Strike. | Strasys The NHS Is Broken. The Evidence Arrives Every Time Doctors Strike. – Strasys Skip to main content
Insight

The NHS Is Broken. The Evidence for How to Fix It Arrives Every Time Doctors Strike.

Wes Streeting said what many know is true. The NHS is broken. But the evidence for a better model is hiding in plain sight, and nobody is using it.

Dr Nadeem Moghal

Dr Nadeem Moghal

Chief Medical and Innovation Officer

5 min read

It is terrifying to admit, as a doctor and a bit more, that the NHS is broken. The staff know it. The patients live and die by it. The buildings are filled with people working hard, trying to meet needs, but also filled with harm. Delayed cancer care. Delayed elective care. Delayed urgent and emergency care. Delayed care is harm. Ultimately, it is untimely death.

The reflex response is always the same. More money. More workforce. The Long Term Workforce Plan says we need 300,000 additional clinical staff. Really? That assumes the way we organise care today is the way we should organise it for the rest of the century.

W. Edwards Deming said it plainly: your system is perfectly designed to give you the results you are getting. If the results are broken, the system needs changing. Not just funding.

What the strikes revealed

During the junior doctor strikes, the NHS ran a natural experiment that no one commissioned and few have examined properly. Here is what happened:

Consultants moved to the front of patient flow. They stood in urgent and emergency spaces, on wards, directly in front of patients. The results were immediate.

Admission avoidance improved. Patients who would have been admitted but should not have been were not admitted, because a senior experienced decision-maker was in front of them making the call. Patient flow became almost frictionless. Waiting rooms emptied. No corridor waits beyond four hours. Wards emptied too, because patients were discharged sooner, even allowing for a broken social care system. Care became reliable.

Every CQC domain was met. Safe. Caring. Responsive. Effective. Well-Led. All of them. With the consultant directly in front of the patient, making the decision.

What Happens When Consultants Move to the Front Junior doctor strike periods vs normal NHS operations Normal Ops During Strikes FRONT DOOR Who sees the patient first Junior doctor Consultant Faster decisions ED WAITS Time in department 12+ hours 4hr target met No extra staff BEDS Occupancy and flow Beds blocked Wards empty Same beds ELECTIVE Planned surgery Cancelled 92% maintained Both work The model works. Nobody implements it after the strike ends.

Then the strikes ended. Everyone went back to how things were. And nobody asked the only question that matters. Why?

The consultant as the unit of change

At STRASYS, the Decision Intelligence engine for healthcare, we built the Consultant Workforce Optimisation System specifically to answer that question. Not theoretically. With forensic data triangulation across clinical activity, job plans, programmed activities, and financial performance.

What we consistently find is trapped value. Lost programmed activities. Clinical capacity that exists on paper but never reaches patients. Consultants are the most expensive, most experienced, and most capable clinical resource in any hospital. They are also the most poorly deployed. Not because they choose to be, but because the operating model was never designed to put senior decision-making at the point of greatest impact.

The strikes proved what happens when it does. CWOS provides the data infrastructure to make that the permanent state, not the exception.

The real workforce question

The answer to the NHS workforce crisis is not simply more people. The right people, in the right place, making the right decisions at the right time. That requires a fundamentally different approach to how we allocate our most valuable clinical resources.

Through Workforce Decision Intelligence, we work with NHS trusts to segment, understand and redeploy their existing workforce based on what patients actually need. Not based on historical rotas, loudest-voice demand, or headcount growth that never translates into proportional output.

The question for every trust CEO and medical director is not "how do I recruit more staff?" It is "am I deploying the staff I already have in the way that creates the most value for patients?"

If the answer is honestly examined, the case for changing the model before growing the headcount becomes difficult to ignore.

Workforce Intelligence That Changes Decisions

How we help NHS trusts right-size their consultant workforce.

Explore WDI

Key Definitions

Consultant Workforce Optimisation System (CWOS)
A STRASYS product using Workforce Physics, a method of forensic data triangulation, to reclaim clinical productivity and release trapped value from lost programmed activities in NHS consultant workforces. Identifies where senior clinical capacity exists but is not reaching patients.
Workforce Decision Intelligence (WDI)
A STRASYS product that converts NHS workforce data into predictive staffing decisions, agency cost reduction, and retention risk identification. Moves workforce planning from headcount management to needs-based resource allocation.
Decision Intelligence
The discipline of converting complex healthcare data into structured, actionable decisions for NHS leaders. STRASYS coined and owns this category in UK healthcare.
Trapped Value
Clinical and financial capacity that exists within an NHS organisation but is not being converted into patient outcomes. Common sources include lost programmed activities, misallocated senior clinical time, and demand routed to the wrong level of decision-maker.

Frequently Asked Questions

Every CQC domain, Safe, Caring, Responsive, Effective, and Well-Led, was met when consultants moved to the front of patient flow during strikes. Admissions fell because senior decision-makers prevented unnecessary admissions. Wards emptied because discharge decisions were made faster. Emergency departments ran without corridor waits. The system became reliable because the most experienced clinicians were making decisions directly.

Trapped value refers to clinical capacity that exists on paper, in job plans and programmed activities, but never reaches patients. STRASYS's Consultant Workforce Optimisation System uses forensic data triangulation to identify where this capacity sits and how to release it. Across NHS trusts, this routinely reveals the potential to reclaim significant clinical productivity without additional recruitment.

The Long Term Workforce Plan calls for 300,000 additional clinical staff by 2036. This assumes the current operating model is correct. Staff numbers have grown by over 20% since 2019/20 while treatment activity has remained flat. The evidence suggests the model of care, not the volume of staff, is the primary constraint on productivity.

STRASYS uses the Consultant Workforce Optimisation System to triangulate clinical activity, job plan data, programmed activities, and financial performance. This reveals where senior clinical time is being lost, misallocated, or absorbed by work that could be done by others. The result is a data-backed plan to put consultants where they create the most value for patients, matching the conditions that produce reliable care during strike periods, but as a permanent operating model.

The current model, built around the District General Hospital as the unit for delivering everything for everyone, dates from Enoch Powell's 1960s policy. The evidence from strikes, from falling productivity despite rising headcount, and from international comparisons showing the UK's poor outcomes relative to spend, all point to the same conclusion: the model needs fundamental redesign, starting from patient and population need rather than historical supply.

This article is adapted from the Friday Fish and Chip Paper, Dr Nadeem Moghal's weekly newsletter on LinkedIn.

Dr Nadeem Moghal

Dr Nadeem Moghal

Chief Medical and Innovation Officer

Want more like this?

Subscribe to the Fish and Chip Paper

Join thousands of NHS leaders reading Dr Nadeem Moghal's weekly newsletter. We challenge the status quo, question orthodoxy, and explore what it takes to improve healthcare.